I thought it would be fun to make some predictions of what I think is going to happen in Internetland this year. I've tried to stay away from obvious stuff like "more businesses will close because we're in a recession" and have put my neck out on the line with some more specific stuff. Let's see what happens.
1. Despite my advice we will see loads more affiliate discount codes and cashback sites in 2009. Disappointing.
2. Affiliates in particular will be best placed to make money from iPhone/iPod apps. We haven't seen any big success stories here in the UK yet but over in the USA Joel is making $30,000 a day wih his iFart app. Come on guys we can do better than that can't we?
3. Yahoo's struggles will continue (their net income fell by two thirds between 2005 and 2007)Â and they will eventually be mopped up and purchased by someone. Although I have to say I really can't see any value in them as Yahoo! Answers and Flickr are their only decent properties.
4. Likewise Affiliate Window will finally be sold this year.
5. Professional SEO services will continue to be a high growth market as the economy continues it's downturn and many advertisers decide not to pay the silly CPC's in certain PPC sectors. Instead they will divert more funds into organic search and longer term strategies. A good year to be in SEO I think.
6. Google will buy Twitter. In 2009 Twitter will really come into it's own. It's growth in 2008 has been dramatic but I think this year we will see it become mainstream and must be the next high profile buyout that Google needs to diversify it's revenue streams. Twitter already rejected a $500 millon offer from FaceBook last year but I'm sure Google could double that offer. BTW you can follow me on Twitter here.
7. Google Chrome will grab 10% market share by yearend, currently it has around 1%.
8. 2009 will be the year of the super-blog. Last year we saw Bankaholic sell for $15m and this is just the beginning. With super blogs like Perez Hilton already charging $54,000 for a banner placement for a week we can expect 2009 to be the year that "new media" overtakes "traditional media" in terms of advertising revenue. I've always said WordPress is a killer app and all you ever need to create a blog/site.
9. At least one major daily newspaper will close it's doors. Increasing costs and an even bigger shift of advertisers budgets from "traditional" to "new media" (see 8 ) will be the cause.
10. ContentNow will launch a very exciting new content service in late January/early February :)
Does anybody have any more? Please let me know via comments
What I'm listening to right now: Chris Brown – "Take You Down"
10 predictions for 2009
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about me
Welcome to my blog. My name is Kieron Donoghue and I am the founder of ShareMyPlaylists.com, ContentNow.co.uk and some other stuff. I have no idea why I'm blue on this photo though but I like it!
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1) yes, because its so easy, theres so many scripts available that feed off of the networks
thehodge.co.uk is for sale at £2million, any offers
2) when it costs less than £3k to get a decent app, theres a lot of brand / ad revenue there.
3) flickr recently did 10TB of uploads in a day, thats a lot of bandwidth and storage, not to mention flickr isn’t monetised very well, expect that to change in 09
4) i must have missed this about AWin
5) i bloody hope so
6) carn’t see google buying them, they bought Jaiku and did naff all with it, I can see twitter launching premium services like SMS for the countries that no longer have it
7) 5%, it doesnt have the community that FF does
9) 1 newspaper, 30 magazines and 5 high street stores
10) you big tease
Any news on Digg?
2009 will be bloggers year as many who losses their job turn into blogging.
great post, and certainly things in there that I agree with wholeheartedly.
I’m avoiding the whole discount codes/cashback side of things. I don’t use them myself, and I think there is enough business out there to avoid the area. What I want to do is find a way of convincing people to use my site links instead of looking for a code/voucher.
The iPhone/iPod app thing is the hook I want to get involved with this year. I’ve got a mac and iPhone and the SDK. I just need an idea and time!
My ideal is an app that people will pay 50p for AND generate affiliate income as well! Oh – and get downloaded 10′s of thousands of time a day!
Great post: Can’t wait to see the plans for no 10. having used the service for pricefilter.co.uk and spoken with the contentnow.co.uk partners I think I can guess what it migh be…!
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Good 10 predictions of 2009. I think I can add some points to the prediction list.
Here it goes:
11.SEO Consultants Will Deliver an ROI. SEO Hacks Will Go Out of Business.
12.Social Media Advertising Will Come of Age.
13.Marketing Software Will Become as Critical as Accounting Software.
14.Web Celebrities will Develop Best of Breed Agencies.
15.Effective CPL Ad Networks Will Arrive for B2B.
I think people will blog/create websites less. The effect of job losses and lack of money means people aren’t really able to splash out £10 a month on webhosting and Google Adwords promotion, people new to affiliate marketing want instant results.
My suggestion is current affiliates will focus on loans, bankrupcy and savings more.
My prediction is that marketers who concentrate on deep-down specialised niches, OAPS, people with disabilities or non-english sites will make the most money.
99 cents for a farting application?!! Come on, can’t people just record the sound of their own fart?!
Maybe I’ll make a burping application but then again, maybe there’s already one in the App store.
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